Sci-Tech
xAI’s Colossus 2 – First Gigawatt Datacenter In The World, Unique RL Methodology, Capital Raise
Much has been written about xAI’s Colossus 1. The Memphis build belongs in the history books: the largest AI training cluster, erected from scratch in 122 days. With roughly 200,000…
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Hawaii's Big Island under rare hurricane landfall threat as Tropical Storm Lala strengthens
HONOLULU (AP) — Tropical Storm Lala is expected to strengthen to a hurricane before reaching…
What to know about Luigi Mangione's guilty plea in killing of UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson
NEW YORK (AP) — Luigi Mangione’s guilty plea on Friday to federal stalking-to-kill charges raised…
Judge refuses to block Trump administration from building border wall along tribe's reservation
WASHINGTON (AP) — A federal judge refused on Friday to block the Trump administration from…
Shootings in Michigan leave 5 people plus suspect dead following large-scale search
A series of shootings in Michigan left five people plus a suspect dead Friday, police…
Lasted Sci-Tech
Q1 2026 Timelines Update
We’re mostly focused on research and writing for our next big scenario, but we’re also continuing to think about AI…
A forecast of Chinese DUV and EUV photolithography progress
This post was written in collaboration between the AI Futures Project and The Substrate and cross-posted to both.Restrictions on photolithography…
Robotics Levels of Autonomy
Robots have powered manufacturing for decades, yet they stayed single-purpose and thrived only in perfect settings. Previous attempts at intelligent…
AI 2040: Plan A
For the past year, we at the AI Futures Project have been sinking most of our time into our next…
Plan A: Suggestions For Further Work
Yesterday we released AI 2040: Plan A, but there’s lots of work left to do.We still have tons of uncertainty…
How to pace the US frontier
IntroductionLast week, the Pacing the Frontier open letter, signed by over 1,000 frontier AI employees, requested “the U.S. government support…
Scaling the Memory Wall: The Rise and Roadmap of HBM
The first portion of this report will explain HBM, the manufacturing process, dynamics between vendors, KVCache offload, disaggregated prefill decode,…
Q2.5 2026 Timelines Update: Uplift and Revenue
Tl;dr: Our timelines haven’t changed much (they got slightly shorter) but our modeling and evidence base have noticeably improved, so…