Morgan Parker
Make The Prompt Public
X.AI’s Grok is in the news for responding to unrelated queries with rants about white genocide in South…
Slow corporations as an intuition pump for AI R&D automation
This is a guest post primarily by Ryan Greenblatt; Eli Lifland assisted with the writing.How much should we…
What you can do about AI 2027
AI 2027 features as one of its two endings a race ending in which humanity loses control of…
We aren't worried about misalignment as self-fulfilling prophecy
One category of response to our scenario doesn’t question our ideas or models. It says “You shouldn’t talk…
AI As Profoundly Abnormal Technology
Circumstances seem to have cast us as foils to the AI As Normal Technology team; in the public…
The world's first frontier AI regulation is surprisingly thoughtful: the EU's Code of Practice
We’ve previously written about what an individual can do to make the development of transformative AI less likely…
How an AI company CEO could quietly take over the world
If the future is to hinge on AI, it stands to reason that AI company CEOs are in…
Scenario Scrutiny for AI Policy
AI 2027 was a descriptive forecast. Our next big project will be prescriptive: a scenario showing roughly how…
Early US policy priorities for AGI
This is a guest post from Nick Marsh, a visiting fellow at Constellation who’s worked closely with AI…
AI Futures Model: Dec 2025 Update
We’ve significantly upgraded our timelines and takeoff model! Our new unified model predicts when AIs will reach key…
What Happens When Superhuman AIs Compete for Control?
In AI 2027, one company called OpenBrain dominates the AI race in the US. Looking around at the…
Forecast how AI will progress in 2026
We’ve worked with AI Digest to create a survey where you can forecast how AI will progress in…
Meta Superintelligence – Leadership Compute, Talent, and Data
Meta’s shocking purchase of 49% of Scale AI at a ~$30B valuation shows that money is of no…
Clarifying how our AI timelines forecasts have changed since AI 2027
Note: since writing this, we published our Q1 2026 Timelines Update, which contains our views as of April…
Grading AI 2027’s 2025 Predictions
AI 2027 laid out a detailed scenario for how AI would progress from 2025 through 2027, including quantitative…