Hawaii's Big Island under rare hurricane landfall threat as Tropical Storm Lala strengthens
HONOLULU (AP) — Tropical Storm Lala is expected to strengthen to a hurricane before reaching Hawaii's Big Island this weekend, forecasters said Friday, bringing heavy rains that can cause destructive…
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Trump denies munitions shortages, vows to jail leakers; Israeli settler charged with killing Palestinian; Senate holds Fauci in contempt
Dr. Anthony Fauci is sworn in during a Senate Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs committee hearing on Capitol Hill in Washington, DC, on July 29, 2026. Photo by Alex Wroblewski…
Q1 2026 Timelines Update
We’re mostly focused on research and writing for our next big scenario, but we’re also continuing to think about AI timelines and takeoff speeds, monitoring the evidence as it comes…
40 Years, 3 Genres, Zero Musical Ability: The Rick Rubin Method
Rick Rubin played guitar in a punk band as a teenager. His own word for how he played: rudimentary.That was the ceiling of his musical ability, and it stayed there.Then…
Temerity 6: The Date 21-22
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Temerity 6: The Date 23-25
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Temerity 6: The Date 26-27
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Temerity 6: The Date 28-30
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5 Great Things / July 2026
Settling Into The Summer UniformWe are at the point in summer where the uniform is starting to settle in, for better or worse. The things that feel easy solidify their…
Not Another Button Down Shirt
The desire for sleeves may be the singular styling point that all (ok 99%) of my clients have in common. Hate your arms, love your arms but also some drama,…
French vs. American Stripes
It’s an American summer, or so they’re saying…which, not no. Chanel in New York. The Knicks. The World Cup. The 70ish degree weather with a faint breeze…for the most part.Weather…
Fall Preview in 5 Ideas
It’s that time of year where clients come out of the woodwork and every acquaintance I meet asks “So what are we wearing this fall?” So this week a brief…
A forecast of Chinese DUV and EUV photolithography progress
This post was written in collaboration between the AI Futures Project and The Substrate and cross-posted to both.Restrictions on photolithography machines are a crucial bottleneck for China’s AI chip efforts.…
Robotics Levels of Autonomy
Robots have powered manufacturing for decades, yet they stayed single-purpose and thrived only in perfect settings. Previous attempts at intelligent machines overpromised and underdelivered. But they were too early. Today,…
AI 2040: Plan A
For the past year, we at the AI Futures Project have been sinking most of our time into our next big scenario. Now it’s done! It’s called AI 2040: Plan…
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